SubjectivePM team

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

PM implied

70%

bid 68% / ask 71%

Current state

—

deferred

Volume

$208.5K

24h $0

Closes in

230d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

—

No live machine-readable trigger for this market.

Resolution Confidence (RC)

—

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

Order bookoffline

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Rule

Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before Jan 1, 2027. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)

Implied probability, last 30d

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h▼ 0.5pp

Δ 7d▲ 3pp

Δ 30d▼ 3.0pp

Reconstructed from cumulative change windows; not a tick-by-tick history.

Open on Polymarket id 690631slug will-ostium-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026